In the aftermath of the American attack on the Taliban and al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, the transformation of its Iraq branch into Islamic State, and the killing of Osama bin Laden in 2011, al-Qaeda was forced to change its tactics. In attempts to evade being destroyed by global anti-terrorist efforts, al-Qaeda has adopted a less centralized structure. Regional groups are taking the lead. Al-Qaeda supports these regional affiliates from the shadows.
The rise of Islamic State brought a serious rivalry for global influence between IS and al-Qaeda. Al-Qaeda sought to change its “public image” by discouraging jihadists from randomly killing women, children, and non-combatant Muslims, and from attacking mosques. One analyst suggests that al-Qaeda may be deliberately cultivating the false impression – to Western opponents – that they are weak, so that they can stay out of sight as they continue to help local Muslim communities to become more like them.
Now that IS has lost its territory in the Middle East, al-Qaeda is once again believed to be the world leader in Islamist insurgencies. It is mostly visible and active through its branches in places like Syria, North Africa, Mali, Somalia, Yemen, and Afghanistan.